Kinship and social organization: an introduction to theory by Ira R Buchler

By Ira R Buchler

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Example text

The results are presented in the Tables. e. the differences X - CLO2 in the case of price growth during the day #2. The risk to return ratios are shown in parentheses. 10 These tables can be useful for reference. You can see that the risk to return ratio decreases with time. So, it is not a good idea to hold stocks which moved up on day #2 for a long time. 1, which illustrates the stock-time performance. The opening and closing prices are shown for days #3, #4, and #5. 1 Price changes for oversold stocks which moved up during the day #2.

Let us show the results of calculating of the probabilities of large price moves, just as we did for the Basic Trading Strategy in the previous chapter. 8% The probability of large price drops are close to those for the Basic Trading Strategy. However, the probabilities of large price upside moves are much higher. How can we reduce the probability of large price drops? This will be described in the next section. 3 Very low risk strategy Who likes risk? We don't. At least, when we trade our own accounts.

An important part of this strategy is dividing the trading capital between stocks. Days #2 and #3 are the days of holding stocks which were bought on day #1. If we do not buy other stocks during these days we will lose possible profits. So as to be able to buy stocks every day the trading capital should be divided into three equal parts. Every part of the capital should be used to buy two stocks. Let's illustrate this idea graphically. A, B, and C are the part of the trading capital. 1 The time diagram for the Basic Trading Strategy So, the sum A + B + C = Trading Capital = TC will be the current trading capital.

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