Free MLB Picks & Predictions - Today's Best Expert MLB Bets (2024)

While Chicago is playing better, it’s running into a New York team that’s won 11 of 13 series this season. The Yanks also boast the second-best record in baseball coming off a win, a crisp 19-11 mark.Luis Gil has a top-tier offense to support him: they’ve put up 10 runs in each of his last two starts, and each of New York’s four wins in the last 10 head-to-heads have been by two runs or more.

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Eric Rosales - Pick Made 1 hrs, 54 min ago.

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On the season, the Jays’ 155 runs scored is the second-lowest mark in the American League behind only the sad White Sox and in May alone, they rank 26th in wRC+, 27th in wOBA, and 29th in home runs with just nine over 12 games. Their 3.6 runs per game are the second-worst mark in baseball and they’re one of five teams averaging under 0.85 home runs per game. This offense is broken, brutal, and hard to watch. The Under 3.5 team total at +105 is a strong play here, especially with an afternoon game which can dilute the lineup. The Jays have hit the Under in 22 of their last 34 games and have a +24% ROI on their team total Under across their last 42 games, per Covers’ trends. They also needed 22 batters to get their first base runner last night.

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Josh Inglis - Pick Made 30 min ago.

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Castillo is an innings-eater with a relatively longer leash than most. He’s pitched at least six frames in each of his last five starts and has cleared his strikeout prop number in his past eight starts. While the sample size is small, the Mariners righty has struck out this Baltimore lineup eight times in 28 at-bats and meets a probable Orioles lineup with 82 strikeouts in their past 307 at-bats.

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Phil Naessens - Pick Made 29 min ago.

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Jeffers leads the Twins in both homers (10) and doubles (12) and his .595 slugging percentage is fourth in the majors. Bet on him to go Over 1.5 total bases today against the Guardians who have Logan Allen on the mound. Allen has a 5.56 ERA with an OBA of .293 through nine starts and he ranks in the bottom 25th percentile in hard hit rate, average exit velocity, and barrel rate. Allen relies primarily on a four-seamer while mixing in a cutter, sweeper, and changeup. Jeffers has been mashing against all those offerings and he's slugging .650 against four-seamers.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 21 min ago.

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Lugo is having a breakout year pitching to a 1.66 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP through nine starts. Lugo's statcast analytics suggest that regression is on the horizon for the veteran right-hander but I don't expect that to happen today in a favorable matchup against a struggling A's lineup. The A's are 28th in the majors with 3.68 runs per game with that number dipping to just 2.88 runs/game on the road. They've been even worse lately, plating just 1.2 runs per game over their last five contests. With Lugo allowing fewer than 2.5 earned runs in eight of nine starts this year, back the Under at even money.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 16 min ago.

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Crawford has pitched to a 2.24 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP through nine starts. Crawford is in the top 10th percentile in hard hit rate and the top 20th percentile in average exit velocity, and he should be poised for a bounce back performance against a weak Cardinals lineup. The Cards managed to plate 10 runs last night but they are still just 26th in the majors in scoring with 3.75 runs per game while posting an OPS of .665. They are also just 26th in hard hit rate and barrel rate while ranking 24th in average exit velocity, so their recent uptick in scoring doesn't look sustainable.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 19 min ago.

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